Strategy validation dashboard

Test the strategy before trusting the signal.

Backtest your selected trading rules against historical price data, then compare the current signal with past performance, risk and drawdown.

AAPL · Ichimoku Cloud Trend

5-year backtest · Daily candles · Long-only · One trade at a time

Latest Signal: Hold
Strategy equity+86.4%
Buy & hold+72.1%

Backtest verdict

The strategy has outperformed buy-and-hold in this sample, but drawdown is still meaningful.

Decision supportValid, but wait

Performance is acceptable, but the current signal is Hold. No new entry until a fresh Buy signal appears.

Outperformed benchmarkStrategy return higher than buy-and-hold.
Pass
⚠️
Drawdown riskMaximum drawdown remains above comfort zone.
Watch
Current entry signalNo active buy trigger detected today.
Wait
Total Return+86.4%

Strategy return over the tested period.

CAGR13.3%

Annualized return from backtest.

Max Drawdown-24.8%

Largest peak-to-trough decline.

Win Rate58.1%

Percentage of closed winning trades.

Trades31

Total completed trades in sample.

Avg Trade+2.7%

Average return per closed trade.

Exposure46%

Time spent in the market.

Risk RatingMedium

Based on drawdown and volatility.

Strategy rules

Current setup
Entry ruleCloud breakout
ConfirmationTenkan > Kijun
Exit ruleBearish cross
Position size100%
Stop lossNone
Trade modeLong-only

Plain-English summary

Interpretation
🧪
The strategy has historical edge

It beat buy-and-hold in this sample, which makes it worth monitoring further.

🛡️
Risk is not low

The drawdown shows this strategy can still sit through painful declines.

🎯
No action until a buy signal

The backtest validates the rules, but the current signal does not support a fresh entry.

Recent trade history

Last 5 closed trades
EntryExitReturnResult
12 Feb 202608 Apr 2026+8.4%Win
03 Nov 202519 Dec 2025-3.1%Loss
21 Jul 202517 Sep 2025+11.8%Win
14 Mar 202530 May 2025+5.6%Win
05 Jan 202528 Jan 2025-2.7%Loss

Latest signal log

Most recent checks
DateSignalPriceAction
26 Apr 2026Hold$162.80Wait
25 Apr 2026Hold$161.90Wait
24 Apr 2026Hold$160.72Wait
08 Apr 2026Sell$168.30Exit
12 Feb 2026Buy$155.20Enter